Arua Hill vs BUL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
AHS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
JIN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 0
WAK
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
AHS
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 4
JIN
71%
16%
12%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
KCC
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
BUL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
BUL
48%
26%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 1
VIP
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
KCC
1 - 0
BUL
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |