Arua Hill vs BUL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIP
3 - 1
AHS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AHS
2 - 0
UGA
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
AHS
1 - 0
VIP
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 0
AHS
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 0
WAK
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BUL
1 - 3
VIP
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VIP
1 - 1
BUL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
WAK
4 - 3
BUL
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 0
AHS
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |