CDA Navalcarnero vs SD Tarazona analysis


41	ELO	37
-12.2%	Tilt	9.6%
4629º	General ELO ranking	3131º
142º	Country ELO ranking	96º
ELO win probability

42.1%

CDA Navalcarnero

27.3%

Draw

30.6%

SD Tarazona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

42.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%

27.4%

Draw

0-0

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

27.3%

30.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CDA Navalcarnero

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Jun. 2016	TAR 2 - 2 NAV 42% 25% 33%	39	39	0	0
12 Jun. 2016	NAV 1 - 0 DEP 50% 25% 26%	38	33	5	+1
05 Jun. 2016	DEP 2 - 1 NAV 32% 23% 45%	40	32	8	-2
29 May. 2016	NAV 2 - 0 SDT 52% 24% 24%	39	32	7	+1
22 May. 2016	SDT 2 - 1 NAV 25% 23% 52%	41	30	11	-2

Matches

SD Tarazona

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Jun. 2016	TAR 2 - 2 NAV 42% 25% 33%	39	39	0	0
12 Jun. 2016	ONT 3 - 2 TAR 42% 27% 30%	39	39	0	0
05 Jun. 2016	TAR 1 - 0 ONT 42% 26% 32%	38	40	2	+1
29 May. 2016	TAR 1 - 0 SJU 58% 22% 20%	38	35	3	0
21 May. 2016	SJU 0 - 0 TAR 29% 27% 44%	38	35	3	0