CDA Navalcarnero vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
31
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 59 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 41 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 31 |
16º
|
39% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 24 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 1
NAV
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 3
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 2
GET
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 2
CDT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
COR
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ILL
1 - 3
MEL
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAJ
0 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
YAI
51%
26%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |