CDA Navalcarnero vs CF Talavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
8º
41
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 73% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAV
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
MEL
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 1
NAV
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 3
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 1
COR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
TAL
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
UBC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MAJ
0 - 1
TAL
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 0
YAI
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |