CDA Navalcarnero vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
NAV
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
UDS
26%
28%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
MAJ
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 2
NAV
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 0
SSR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 3
ATH
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 1
ARE
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
ATH
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |