CDA Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAV
0 - 1
POZ
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADA
1 - 0
NAV
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 0
NAV
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NAV
1 - 2
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 1
STA
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MEX
5 - 0
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 2
RVB
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALC
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDM
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |