Arsinspor vs Erzincan Refahiyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsinspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DER
2 - 4
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TEK
1 - 1
ARS
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
PAY
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
YEN
0 - 0
ARS
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
EYU
26%
25%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 2
4EY
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HEA
1 - 1
ERZ
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DER
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 2
TEK
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |