Arsinspor vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsinspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARS
4 - 2
DEN
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 0
KAY
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AYV
2 - 2
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
193
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ANK
1 - 0
DER
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
KAH
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KIZ
0 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DER
3 - 4
BEY
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ANK
0 - 0
DER
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |