Arsenal vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
CHL
3 - 1
ARS
61%
19%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
ARS
1 - 0
BPO
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
ARS
4 - 2
FUL
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
WOL
1 - 1
GLA
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 1
BUR
71%
15%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 2
WOL
28%
23%
50%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
WBA
2 - 1
WOL
36%
23%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
WOL
1 - 0
MAC
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |