Arsenal vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BHA
2 - 1
ARS
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 2
OST
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
WBA
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
EVE
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
WHU
2 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
4 - 1
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
STO
0 - 0
WAT
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |