Arsenal vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
ARS
3 - 0
COV
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
ARS
1 - 0
WHU
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ASV
1 - 4
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
WAT
0 - 0
IPS
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
QPR
2 - 1
WAT
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 2
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
MAC
0 - 1
WAT
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
LIV
0 - 0
WAT
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |