Champions League Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Arsenal vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WIG
1 - 4
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 1
HUL
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
3 - 0
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATH
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 2
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |