Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Arsenal vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
30%
27%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
BYM
1 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ARS
3 - 0
BBU
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
ARS
1 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 1
ESP
70%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
41%
27%
32%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
VCF
2 - 1
PAN
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
78%
14%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
STR
0 - 5
VCF
30%
27%
43%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |