Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 3-1
Arsenal vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
21%
21%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 1
RBN
78%
15%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOC
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
24%
23%
54%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 2
SCP
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 2
UDI
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FIO
5 - 2
UDI
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |