Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
COV
3 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
ARS
1 - 1
SOU
61%
24%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
WBA
0 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1980 |
MID
5 - 0
ARS
36%
29%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
WOL
1 - 2
ARS
41%
28%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
TOT
2 - 2
BHA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
CRY
3 - 4
TOT
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
TOT
2 - 0
NTT
35%
29%
37%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1980 |
TOT
0 - 0
BRI
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
ASV
1 - 0
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |