Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 1
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
STO
1 - 6
TOT
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 1
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |