Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHW
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
BIR
0 - 0
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
37%
25%
39%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
TOT
0 - 1
LEI
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 5
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
BBU
1 - 0
TOT
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
TOT
4 - 1
SHE
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
HUR
2 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |