Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 1
BCF
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
0 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 2
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
MUD
4 - 1
ARS
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOT
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
LEI
6 - 1
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
TOT
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |