Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
DER
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
SHW
2 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
WBA
2 - 1
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
OLD
4 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
SHE
4 - 0
TOT
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |