Arsenal vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
10%
18%
72%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NTT
0 - 4
ARS
11%
18%
72%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HUL
1 - 4
ARS
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
LIV
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 3
MAC
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
SWA
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 2
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |