Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
ARS
6 - 1
LEI
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2000 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
ARS
5 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2000 |
ARS
2 - 2
BYM
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 4
SUN
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2000 |
CRY
2 - 1
SUN
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
LEE
2 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |