Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
39%
27%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARS
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
NOR
3 - 1
ARS
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 2
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
1 - 2
BIR
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
IPS
4 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
1 - 1
BHA
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 0
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |