Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 3
SHE
67%
17%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 3
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
BPO
3 - 3
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
56%
20%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |