Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1947 |
SHE
2 - 1
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARS
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
DER
0 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1947 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
STO
0 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
GRI
1 - 2
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
SUN
3 - 1
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |