Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1934 |
OPA
1 - 0
ARS
37%
25%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
ARS
3 - 1
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
DER
2 - 4
ARS
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
STO
1 - 1
ARS
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1934 |
SUN
2 - 0
MID
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1934 |
SUN
0 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1934 |
SHW
2 - 0
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1934 |
BBU
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
SUN
4 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |