Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
5 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
52%
21%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 0
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
4 - 4
SHE
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
WHU
3 - 3
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
LEE
0 - 3
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |