Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1927 |
BUR
1 - 2
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
ARS
6 - 1
SHE
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
BCF
5 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
12%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1927 |
SUN
4 - 2
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1927 |
LEI
3 - 3
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1927 |
WHU
2 - 4
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
SUN
3 - 3
OPA
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |