Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
BBU
2 - 3
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
ARS
6 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 5
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
4 - 1
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
WHU
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
LEI
4 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
SUN
2 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1925 |
LIV
2 - 2
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1925 |
BCF
2 - 2
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |