Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
NTT
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 2
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
MID
1 - 3
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1924 |
LIV
4 - 2
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |