Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 3
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 3
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 3
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |