Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
EVE
2 - 4
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
LIV
0 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BOL
6 - 2
SUN
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |