Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 3
SUN
54%
21%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |