Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
NTT
0 - 1
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 2
ARS
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
SUN
3 - 1
LEI
83%
10%
6%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 0
SUN
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
SUN
6 - 1
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
BRA
0 - 2
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
SUN
0 - 1
BBU
77%
13%
9%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |