Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 4
CHL
39%
27%
34%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
38%
28%
35%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 3
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
20%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
STO
2 - 0
WIG
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 2
STO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
STO
0 - 1
WHU
36%
29%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
BBU
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |