Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 3
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
24%
24%
52%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
FUL
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
OPA
0 - 1
ARS
14%
21%
64%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 0
STO
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
IPS
1 - 0
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
STO
0 - 0
PNE
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
BHA
0 - 1
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |