Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
IPS
2 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1984 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
65%
19%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
WAT
3 - 4
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
ARS
55%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
NOR
0 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
STO
2 - 2
LEI
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
STO
2 - 1
SHW
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
LUT
2 - 0
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |