Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
BPO
70%
16%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
CHA
4 - 0
STO
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
STO
2 - 3
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
STO
2 - 0
OPA
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |