Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
2 - 1
ARS
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 0
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
STO
0 - 1
OPA
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
WOL
2 - 1
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
STO
1 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
HUR
4 - 0
STO
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |