Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 2
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
BPO
2 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
MUD
5 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
58%
21%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1946 |
BBU
1 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
CHL
2 - 5
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
STO
3 - 0
SHE
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
PNE
1 - 3
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
STO
3 - 2
MUD
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1946 |
STO
5 - 2
LEE
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |