Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
OPA
0 - 0
ARS
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 1
PNE
69%
18%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
3 - 0
DER
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1938 |
CHA
3 - 0
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
PNE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
STO
2 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1938 |
DER
4 - 1
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |