Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
LEE
3 - 4
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
GRI
1 - 3
ARS
50%
21%
29%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
WOL
2 - 1
STO
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
STO
1 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
STO
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
PNE
0 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
STO
2 - 4
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |