Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
5 - 0
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
BOL
4 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
HUR
4 - 0
ARS
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
STO
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |