Arsenal vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
15%
21%
65%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 4
ARS
12%
20%
69%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
SDL
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SDL
3 - 1
BRU
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SDL
2 - 0
OLP
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
SDL
2 - 1
LIE
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |