Europa League 1/32
Global 4-8
Arsenal vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOT
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
3 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
COV
0 - 2
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
BHA
1 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
3 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
KAI
4 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAI
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 1
BRU
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |