Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
COV
0 - 2
ARS
28%
29%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
IPS
2 - 4
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 1
ARS
34%
29%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1993 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARS
31%
28%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
SOU
4 - 3
IPS
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
BBU
0 - 0
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
WIM
1 - 2
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
SOU
3 - 2
SHE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |