Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
NOR
2 - 1
ARS
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ARS
1 - 1
CRY
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
GÖT
0 - 0
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
MAC
0 - 3
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
SOU
2 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
SOU
2 - 0
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
LEE
2 - 0
SOU
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
SOU
1 - 1
WBA
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |