Arsenal vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BBU
4 - 3
ARS
16%
21%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 1
ARS
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
SWA
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
8 - 2
ARS
64%
20%
17%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 2
ARS
25%
23%
51%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
STF
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
STF
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
STF
3 - 1
HER
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 1
STF
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 1
STF
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |