Arsenal vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
DYN
2 - 1
ARS
24%
25%
51%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
ARS
17%
24%
60%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 0
ARS
19%
24%
57%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 3
WBA
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 0
ROT
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 2
ROT
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 0
MIL
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |