Arsenal vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 2
FUL
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 1
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
82%
13%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 0
NEC
75%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RKC
0 - 4
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 1
GLA
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 2
PSV
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |